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Sensex, Nifty Extend Five Day Winning Streak as Falling Crude Prices Boost Investor Confidence

 

Indian equity markets extended their winning streak to five consecutive sessions on Wednesday, November 4, as easing crude oil prices, renewed foreign investor buying and widespread gains across sectors lifted market sentiment. The rally pushed both benchmark indices higher, while midcap and smallcap stocks outperformed frontline shares. Investors also welcomed improving domestic business activity and declining market volatility, although technology stocks remained under pressure amid concerns over global valuations and uncertainty surrounding artificial intelligence investments.

The BSE Sensex climbed 383.55 points, or 0.50 per cent, to close at 77,301.40. The NSE Nifty 50 advanced 149.75 points, or 0.63 per cent, to settle at 23,960.60, moving comfortably above the 23,950 level. Over the five session rally, the Sensex and Nifty gained 5.54 per cent and 5.56 per cent, respectively.

Falling international crude oil prices provided significant support to Indian equities. Brent crude futures for December 2026 delivery declined $1.95, or 1.88 per cent, to $101.65 per barrel. For India, which depends heavily on imported oil, lower crude prices can ease inflationary pressures, reduce the import bill and improve the operating environment for energy intensive businesses.

Foreign portfolio investors also returned as net buyers of Indian equities in November. Market data indicated purchases worth approximately $821 million during the month. The renewed inflows improved liquidity and supported investor confidence following substantial overseas selling earlier in the year. However, cumulative foreign investor outflows for 2026 remained significant.

Buying activity extended beyond large companies. The Nifty MidCap 150 climbed 1.60 per cent, while the Nifty SmallCap 250 surged 1.97 per cent. Market breadth reflected the strength of the recovery, with 2,720 stocks advancing against 884 declining on the NSE. Another 100 shares finished unchanged.

The India VIX declined 2.89 per cent to 15.27, signalling reduced expectations of near term market volatility. Among the leading Nifty performers, Titan Company gained 4.22 per cent, Bajaj Finance advanced 2.47 per cent and HDFC Bank rose 1.54 per cent. Realty and metal stocks attracted strong buying, while information technology shares remained weak.

Domestic economic indicators offered additional encouragement. India's services sector expanded at its fastest pace in four months during October, with the HSBC India Services Purchasing Managers' Index rising to 55.8 from 55.2 in September. However, the final reading was below the preliminary estimate of 56.2.

Growth was supported by stronger domestic demand, new customer acquisitions and promotional activity. New business and sales recorded their strongest increase since June. Export order growth, however, slowed to its weakest pace since February 2023, highlighting the continued dependence of services activity on domestic consumption.

Employment growth also moderated, reaching its weakest pace during the latest 10 month period of expansion. Business confidence weakened compared with September and remained below its long term average. On the positive side, input cost inflation eased to its lowest level since August 2020, while the increase in selling prices slowed to its weakest pace since June.

The HSBC India Composite PMI Output Index increased to 56.2 in October from 55.9 in September, indicating stronger private sector activity. The improvement came despite some moderation in manufacturing output. Overall input cost inflation reached an 11 month low, while selling price inflation declined to its weakest level since February 2022.

Currency and bond markets also recorded positive movements. The Indian rupee strengthened to 94.5925 against the US dollar compared with its previous close of 94.7500. India's 10 year benchmark government bond yield declined to 7.223 per cent from 7.297 per cent, indicating an increase in bond prices.

Gold prices moved higher, with MCX December futures rising 2.37 per cent to Rs 1,42,789. The US Dollar Index slipped 0.47 per cent to 101.38, while the US 10 year Treasury yield eased to 4.924 per cent.

Global markets remained focused on the outcome of the US midterm elections, with Democrats securing control of both chambers of Congress. Investors assessed the possible implications for trade policy, artificial intelligence regulation, technology investment and government spending. European equities traded higher, while Asian markets recovered from early losses.

Technology stocks continued to face pressure across parts of Asia amid concerns about elevated valuations and the enormous capital expenditure required to develop artificial intelligence infrastructure. However, US equity futures rebounded sharply, with Dow futures gaining 763 points.

Wall Street had delivered a mixed performance in the previous session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 197.26 points to 51,786.72, while the S&P 500 gained 27.52 points to 7,568.92. The Nasdaq Composite advanced 207.65 points to 25,372.01.

Major technology shares supported the recovery. Nvidia gained 2.29 per cent, Microsoft rose 2.74 per cent and Amazon advanced 2.06 per cent. Broadcom climbed 3.07 per cent, while Micron Technology added 2.6 per cent. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index gained approximately 3 per cent.

Apple moved in the opposite direction, falling 1.90 per cent after warning that rising memory chip costs could affect its December quarter gross margin. The company reported fiscal fourth quarter revenue of $114.5 billion, up 12 per cent year on year, and net income of $30.71 billion. However, its December quarter gross margin guidance of 45 to 46 per cent raised concerns about profitability.

Advanced Micro Devices also remained in focus after reporting record third quarter 2026 results. Revenue increased 45 per cent year on year to $13.38 billion, while net income surged 95 per cent to $2.43 billion. Its data centre revenue nearly doubled, rising 97 per cent to approximately $8.55 billion. AMD forecast fourth quarter revenue of around $17 billion, reflecting continued demand for artificial intelligence processors and data centre infrastructure.

Several domestic companies also attracted attention following their quarterly results. Emcure Pharmaceuticals jumped 9.30 per cent after reporting a 29.3 per cent increase in adjusted consolidated profit to Rs 325.1 crore. Awfis Space Solutions gained 6.21 per cent as quarterly profit increased 93 per cent to Rs 31 crore. R Systems International advanced 8.62 per cent after adjusted net profit rose 53.1 per cent to Rs 66.45 crore.

Saregama India surged 13.27 per cent after reporting a 47.62 per cent increase in quarterly net profit to Rs 64.60 crore. Bata India declined 2.55 per cent following a sharp sequential fall in profit, while MCX shares dropped 5.02 per cent despite reporting a 130.8 per cent year on year increase in consolidated net profit to Rs 455 crore.

Newly listed M.K. Sons Fine Jewels made a positive debut on the BSE at Rs 171.60, representing a 5.93 per cent premium over its issue price of Rs 162. However, the shares surrendered most of their early gains and closed at Rs 162.20.

The five session advance has strengthened confidence in Indian equities, supported by foreign investor inflows, easing crude prices and improving domestic demand. However, elevated oil prices, geopolitical uncertainty, foreign investment trends and global technology valuations remain key factors investors will watch as the market enters its next trading sessions.

SRA
Ajay Kumar
Founder & Chief Editor • Story Real A

Investigative journalist and founder of Story Real A, focusing on public policy, national socioeconomic developments, governance, and grassroots reporting across India.

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